A Russian victory in Ukraine would be a disaster for the United States, one even more damaging than our chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan.
The president and his aides often cite a somewhat abstract principle to make their case: that big countries ruled by autocrats should not be allowed to invade their neighbors and seize territory.īut the stakes in this war also come down to realpolitik - or, if you’d like to stick to English, harsh reality. national interest, not merely an act of charity. So Biden should make a clearer case that helping Ukraine is in the U.S. The United States has already sent Ukraine more than $50 billion in military aid.
It’s understandable that many Americans are tired of seeing taxpayer dollars spent on a faraway war. A CBS News poll this month found that 54% of Americans favor sending more weapons to Kyiv, but 61% of GOP voters disagree. Polls suggest that most voters support continued aid to Ukraine, but Republicans are increasingly opposed. The proposal has drawn noisy opposition from pro-Trump Republicans, but with support from GOP hawks and Democrats, it’s likely to pass after vigorous debate. Meanwhile, Biden is asking Congress for another $24 billion in military and humanitarian aid for Ukraine. “But ATACMS should be useful during the winter in impeding the Russians’ efforts to rebuild their fortifications.” “There’s no silver bullet that’s going to transform the situation,” said Alexander Vershbow, a former U.S. Even then, they might not have made a decisive difference. But in recent weeks, unnamed administration officials have said Biden is close to sending the missiles, a decision that could nudge other countries to send them too.īut the ATACMS aren’t likely to arrive in Ukraine soon enough to affect this summer’s offensive. The Pentagon has rejected the request for reasons including fear that Ukraine might use ATACMS against targets deep inside Russia, potentially provoking a superpower crisis. The missiles’ 190-mile range would allow Ukraine to hit Russian bases, equipment and ammunition well behind the front lines. Army Tactical Missile System, also known as ATACMS (pronounced “attack ’ems”). One of his top requests to Biden will be for the U.S. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will visit Washington this week to meet with President Biden and members of Congress. Meanwhile, Ukraine needs help from the United States and Europe to keep fighting.
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So it will take another year of fighting plus a presidential election before Putin even considers negotiations. Trump praised Putin’s invasion last year as “genius” and has claimed that if he were elected, he would end the war “in 24 hours,” which sounds like pulling the plug on Ukraine.
He’s betting that the United States and its European allies will tire of sending money and weapons to Kyiv.Īnother reason for Putin to keep fighting is the prospect that Donald Trump might return to the White House. But their army has not advanced far enough to make Putin decide to cut his losses. Ukraine’s leaders are determined to keep fighting, since the alternative is to see their country taken over by Russia’s Vladimir Putin. Even so, it’s clear that this war will continue well into 2024, and probably beyond. Ukraine’s advance could still pick up speed before its ammunition runs out and winter sets in, Kofman added. Each day’s progress “is measured in the hundreds of meters,” not kilometers or miles, he said. It’s been “a breach, but not a breakthrough,” said Michael Kofman, a military analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, who has made several visits to the battle zone. That’s progress, but far short of where they wanted to be. They fought through the first of three Russian lines in late August, and they’re now assaulting the second. The Ukrainians’ goal was to penetrate Russia’s heavily fortified defenses in southern Ukraine and cut the main roads between Russia and Crimea. After three months of grueling combat against Russian troops, Ukraine’s summer offensive is finally showing results - but not the dramatic breakthrough Ukrainians and their supporters in the West hoped for.
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